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Assessing creditworthiness is fundamental to sound treasury and investment management. Two primary tools used for this purpose are credit ratings and credit default swaps - each offering distinct but complementary insights into credit risk.
November’s Budget comes against a backdrop of weak growth, sticky inflation and stretched public finances, leaving the Chancellor with little room to manoeuvre. Markets will be looking for fiscal discipline and credible plans, while limited tax levers raise tough questions about whether manifesto pledges can hold.
Congress’s failure to pass a full-year spending bill has triggered a US government shutdown. While debt servicing continues, a prolonged shutdown alongside slowing jobs growth, high deficits and shifting yield curves risks undermining confidence, growth and monetary policy timing.
UK local authority investment has shifted markedly over the past decade, with LA-to-LA lending emerging as a core feature of treasury portfolios. Since 2014, volumes have more than doubled from under £5bn to over £12bn in 2025, now accounting for over 30% of the £41.3bn invested. This growth reflects the decline in bank and building society deposits and the appeal of LA-to-LA deals, offering flexibility, competitive rates, simplicity and strong security.
UK contractor ISG entered administration on 20th September, underscoring the ongoing risks in the construction sector and the vital importance of thorough due diligence.
The Hammersmith and Fulham swaps case redefined local authority risk-taking, banning derivatives for decades. With the general power of competence, councils can now prudently use swaps for risk management and savings.
Global trade is no longer driving growth as it once did, while fiscal and monetary policy options are limited. Without a major boost from productivity or innovation, both the UK and US face a period of weak economic growth and the risk of stagnation.
UK charities face volatile income, rising costs and growing demand. Effective treasury management is essential to protect assets and sustain missions. Arlingclose provides tailored advice on liquidity, investments and debt to strengthen resilience and ensure funds work harder for beneficiaries.
The UK Municipal Bonds Agency set out to offer local authorities cheaper and more flexible borrowing, but struggled to compete with the PWLB’s simplicity and pricing.
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