The Arlingclose economic forecast is based upon projections for these underlying flows. While clients receive tactical advice on short-term volatility in financial markets, the strategic vision needs to be based on a more fundamental view, and it is this we communicate to clients and use as the basis for our financial modelling.
Realising that heavy reliance on one scenario is a risk in itself, we produce a range of economic forecasts, allowing scenario testing to widen and improve the output from financial modelling.
At the more immediate end of the spectrum, we communicate the important economic and political events in the week ahead and project both the potential outcomes and their effect on rates and yields. These opportunities are signalled to clients as and when they occur.