
The Not So Dismal Science
Are economists too pessimistic?

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Are economists too pessimistic?

Arlingclose is delighted to have arranged a £73m revolving credit facility for the London-based housing association Optivo, funded by UK local authorities.

Whether the bond is issued as ‘green’ or ‘sustainability-linked’, the servicing of debt, both coupon payment and principal repayment, remains the responsibility of the issuing entity and thorough credit analysis should not be overlooked.

A regulatory review is due and we noted last year that further rule changes could be on the horizon, driven by the market stresses experienced in March 2020 with the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future returns, or so goes the ubiquitous statement on much investment-related material. Despite this, past performance is often (always?) used by many investors as at least a general guide to what the future may bring.

There is no doubt about it, bond yields are under significant pressure. They have relentlessly marched higher, driven by both inflation and monetary policy concerns. So, what has changed? The inflation outlook has been known for some time, so why are yields continuing to price in ever higher premiums?

One of the key advantages of iDealTrade is that it allows you to be a market maker when you have specific requirements for your funding. A District Council's recent success highlights this.

Notable savings have been achieved through forward starting loans with private lenders

The recent consultation to changes in the Minimum Revenue Provision regime in England has now closed and has prompted criticism of some of the more extreme approaches taken by local authorities in terms of MRP policy.
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